Tartu Welco travels to face Parnu JK Vaprus holding all the statistical cards. Welco recently put together a solid string of performances, including high-scoring victories in the Esiliiga and competitive friendlies. Parnu’s form is alarmingly poor; they are bleeding goals at an unsustainable rate, frequently conceding three or more goals to mid-table opposition. Parnu’s defensive disorganization makes them incredibly vulnerable to Welco’s rapid counter-attacks.

The most recent head-to-head clash between these two sides ended in a brutal 5-0 demolition in favor of Tartu Welco. Welco exploited the half-spaces and heavily punished Parnu’s inability to defend set-pieces. Given the stark contrast in goal difference and current form, the data suggests another heavy defeat for Parnu, with the match highly likely to cross the over 2.5 goals threshold.