This KNVB Beker semi-final sees AZ Alkmaar as the clear frontrunners. AZ has been a scoring machine in this competition, notably hammering Ajax 6-0 in the quarter-finals. They average 3.3 goals per match in the cup and have scored in 19 of their last 20 home fixtures. Their ability to start fast, winning at half-time in 12 of their last 20 home games, often puts lower-tier opponents under immediate pressure.

Telstar arrives as the “giant-killers” of the tournament, but the step up in quality is significant. AZ Alkmaar’s matches rarely lack goals, with over 1.5 goals occurring in each of their last 17 cup ties. While Telstar will look to frustrate the hosts, the statistical gap in attacking efficiency and AZ’s perfect record in recent cup home games makes the top-flight side the heavy favorite to reach the final.